Within the newest version of “De Cara al Mundo” on Onda Madrid, we proceed with the evaluation of Ukraine by Lucas Martín, skilled worldwide analyst and contributor to Atalayar. The ability wrestle between the Russian army management and the significance of Soledar are two of the problems analysed by Lucas Martín.
Is the command of Russian troops in Ukraine a poisoned promotion?
I body this query throughout the context of the infighting on the prime of the Kremlin. There’s a wrestle between Prigozhin, the pinnacle of the Wagner group, on the one hand, Kadyrov, the pinnacle of the Chechen Republic, on the opposite, after which the commanders of the pure army items. All sides are jockeying for the limelight whereas Putin is within the center.
I believe all operations have been left to relaxation for too lengthy, and now this variation in command is a approach to give a lift and strengthen those that have all the time been with him and his pure army management, who’re in flip at odds with Prigozhin and Kadyrov.
Surovíkin was Russia’s army chief in Syria, however Russia wants one thing extra in Ukraine.
Motivation is the important thing situation. Russia proper now’s primarily utilizing mobilised alternative personnel, and preventing to defend your nation, your land and your folks just isn’t the identical as sending 17-year-olds or 50-year-olds to combat in a rustic out of obligation and with none motivation. Right here the stability is clearly in Ukraine’s favour.
Surovíkin, furthermore, is accused of being accountable for the withdrawal from Kherson. An accusation that, in my opinion, is unjust as a result of it was actually the one smart factor to do and the one smart possibility. The truth is, it took too lengthy to take action. In any case, these accusations are being utilized by Surovíkin’s enemies responsible Surovíkin’s army group for the failures in Ukraine.
What’s the significance of Soledar?
Soledar might be framed within the context of this wrestle I’ve mentioned. Soledar is necessary as a result of it’s simpler, as we’re seeing, to advance via Soledar than via Bakhmut, which is closely fortified and the place Russian forces have been crashing into Ukrainian defences for months.
In case you have a look at it, it was Wagner who was fast to say that they had been already in full management of Soledar. First, as a result of they want that victory to promote to the Russian folks, however Wagner was additionally very cautious to say that it was solely their forces that occupied Soledar, with out the assistance of Russian Airborne Troops (VDV) or common forces, thus contradicting what they had been saying about common forces cooperating with Wagner. This exhibits, as soon as once more, that latent army wrestle.
After that, the data may be very complicated, and since they’ve already introduced that they’ve occupied the town, they want this to be a actuality, however the fact is that there’s nonetheless preventing in sure areas of the town, as occurred in Bakhmut.
I wish to make one factor clear: occupying, because the Russians as soon as occupied Bakhmut and now Soledar, just isn’t the identical as holding that place and even advancing additional. That is the place the query lies. I do not forget that Bakhmut was occupied and two weeks later they had been pushed out.
What position can Bradley, Marder and even Leopard armour, in addition to Patriot anti-missile batteries, play for the Ukrainian military?
They’re good automobiles, they’re necessary, however in my opinion sending 50 automobiles of 1 kind, 20 of one other and 30 of one other just isn’t one thing vital in struggle; it’s not what is known as in know-how a sport changer. It is not going to alter something, except you ship, for instance, 150 automobiles of 1 kind.
Sending totally different automobiles complicates the availability of ammunition quite a bit as a result of every car we’re speaking about makes use of a unique calibre. As well as, it’s important to practice not solely the personnel who’re going to function these automobiles – the motive force, the gunner – however you even have to coach the items to learn to combat inside an organization or inside a battalion. These automobiles don’t combat alone.
We additionally neglect that Bradley or Marder armoured automobiles are automobiles designed to function within the firm of Abrams tanks or Léopards, in a pairing that they share collectively in help of one another.
I get the impression that Western nations have a contest to be within the image, which isn’t a nasty taboo, however provided that they comply with ship 100 automobiles of a single mannequin collectively. That might be vital.
