Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine and the Limits of Navy Energy


On February 27, a number of days after Russia invaded Ukraine, Russian forces launched an operation to grab the Chornobaivka airfield close to Kherson on the Black Coastline. Kherson was the primary Ukrainian metropolis the Russians managed to occupy, and because it was additionally near Russia’s Crimean stronghold, the airfield can be essential for the following stage of the offensive. However issues didn’t go in accordance with plan. The identical day the Russians took over the airfield, Ukrainian forces started counterattacking with armed drones and shortly struck the helicopters that have been flying in provides from Crimea. In early March, in accordance with Ukrainian protection sources, Ukrainian troopers made a devastating night time raid on the airstrip, destroying a fleet of 30 Russian army helicopters. A few week later, Ukrainian forces destroyed one other seven. By Might 2, Ukraine had made 18 separate assaults on the airfield, which, in accordance with Kyiv, had eradicated not solely dozens of helicopters but in addition ammunition depots, two Russian generals, and almost a complete Russian battalion. But all through these assaults, Russian forces continued to maneuver in gear and materiel with helicopters. Missing each a coherent technique for defending the airstrip and a viable different base, the Russians merely caught to their authentic orders, with disastrous outcomes.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has described the Chornobaivka battle as a logo of the incompetence of Russia’s commanders, who have been driving “their individuals to slaughter.” In actual fact, there have been quite a few related examples from the primary weeks of the invasion. Though Ukrainian forces have been constantly outgunned, they used their initiative to nice benefit, as Russian forces repeated the identical errors and failed to vary their ways. From the beginning, the struggle has offered a exceptional distinction in approaches to command. And these contrasts might go a good distance towards explaining why the Russian army has so underperformed expectations.

Within the weeks main as much as the February 24 invasion, Western leaders and analysts and the worldwide press have been naturally fixated on the overwhelming forces that Russian President Vladimir Putin was amassing on Ukraine’s borders. As many as 190,000 Russian troops have been poised to invade the nation. Organized into as many as 120 battalion tactical teams, every had armor and artillery and was backed by superior air help. Few imagined that Ukrainian forces might maintain out for very lengthy in opposition to the Russian steamroller. The primary query in regards to the Russian plans was whether or not they included enough forces to occupy such a big nation after the battle was gained. However the estimates had did not account for the numerous components that issue into a real measure of army capabilities.

Navy energy will not be solely a couple of nation’s armaments and the ability with which they’re used. It should take note of the assets of the enemy, in addition to the contributions from allies and pals, whether or not within the type of sensible help or direct interventions. And though army power is commonly measured in firepower, by counting inventories of arms and the scale of armies, navies, and air forces, a lot relies on the standard of the gear, how properly it has been maintained, and on the coaching and motivation of the personnel utilizing it. In any struggle, the power of an financial system to maintain the struggle effort, and the resilience of the logistical methods to make sure that provides attain the entrance strains as wanted, is of accelerating significance because the battle wears on. So is the diploma to which a belligerent can mobilize and keep help for its personal trigger, each domestically and externally, and undermine that of the enemy, duties that require setting up compelling narratives that may rationalize setbacks in addition to anticipate victories. Above all, nevertheless, army energy relies on efficient command. And that features each a rustic’s political leaders, who act as supreme commanders, and people looking for to attain their army objectives as operational commanders.

Putin’s invasion of Ukraine has underscored the essential position of command in figuring out final army success. The uncooked pressure of arms can solely achieve this a lot for a state. As Western leaders found in Afghanistan and Iraq, superior army {hardware} and firepower might allow forces to realize management of territory, however they’re far much less efficient within the profitable administration of that territory. In Ukraine, Putin has struggled even to realize management of territory, and the way in which that his forces have waged struggle has already ensured that any try to control, even in Ukraine’s supposedly pro-Russian east, might be met by animosity and resistance. For in launching the invasion, Putin made the acquainted however catastrophic mistake of underestimating the enemy, assuming it to be weak at its core, whereas having extreme confidence in what his personal forces might obtain.

The Destiny of Nations

Instructions are authoritative orders, to be obeyed with out query. Navy organizations require robust chains of command as a result of they commit disciplined and purposeful violence. At instances of struggle, commanders face the particular problem of persuading subordinates to behave in opposition to their very own survival instincts and overcome the conventional inhibitions about murdering their fellow people. The stakes might be extraordinarily excessive. Commanders might have the destiny of their international locations of their fingers and have to be deeply conscious of the potential for nationwide humiliation ought to they fail in addition to for nationwide glory in the event that they succeed.

Navy command is commonly described as a type of management, and as outlined in treatises on command, the qualities sought in army leaders are sometimes those who can be admirable in virtually any setting: deep skilled information, the power to make use of assets effectively, good communication abilities, the power to get on with others, a way of ethical function and duty, and a willingness to look after subordinates. However the excessive stakes of struggle and the stresses of fight impose their very own calls for. Right here, the related qualities embody an intuition for sustaining the initiative, a flair for seeing complicated conditions clearly, a capability for constructing belief, and the power to reply nimbly to altering or sudden circumstances. The historian Barbara Tuchman recognized the necessity for a mixture of decision—“the dedication to win by way of”—and judgment, or the capability to make use of one’s expertise to learn conditions. A commander who combines resolve with eager strategic intelligence can obtain spectacular outcomes, however resolve mixed with stupidity can result in damage.

Not all subordinates will mechanically observe instructions. Generally orders are inappropriate, maybe as a result of they’re primarily based on dated and incomplete intelligence and will due to this fact be ignored by even essentially the most diligent area officer. In different circumstances, their implementation is likely to be attainable however unwise, maybe as a result of there’s a higher technique to obtain the identical goals. Confronted with orders they dislike or mistrust, subordinates can search options to outright disobedience. They will procrastinate, observe orders half-heartedly, or interpret them in a approach that matches higher with the state of affairs that confronts them.

To keep away from these tensions, nevertheless, the trendy command philosophy adopted within the West has more and more sought to encourage subordinates to take the initiative to cope with the circumstances at hand; commanders belief these near the motion to make the important selections but are able to step in if occasions go awry. That is the method Ukrainian forces have adopted. Russia’s command philosophy is extra hierarchical. In precept, Russian doctrine permits for native initiative, however the command buildings in place don’t encourage subordinates to threat disobeying their orders. Rigid command methods can result in extreme warning, a fixation on sure ways even when they’re inappropriate, and an absence of “floor fact,” as subordinates dare not report issues and as a substitute insist that every one is properly.

Russia’s issues with command in Ukraine are much less a consequence of army philosophy than of present political management. In autocratic methods akin to Russia’s, officers and officers should suppose twice earlier than difficult superiors. Life is best once they act on the chief’s needs with out query. Dictators can actually make daring selections on struggle, however these are much more prone to be primarily based on their very own ill-informed assumptions and are unlikely to have been challenged in a cautious decision-making course of. Dictators are likely to encompass themselves with like-minded advisers and to prize loyalty above competence of their senior army commanders.

From Success to Stalemate

Putin’s readiness to belief his personal judgment in Ukraine mirrored the truth that his previous selections on using pressure had labored out properly for him. The state of the Russian army within the Nineteen Nineties earlier than he took energy was dire, as proven by Russian President Boris Yeltsin’s 1994–96 struggle in Chechnya. On the finish of 1994, Russian Protection Minister Pavel Grachev reassured Yeltsin that he might finish Chechnya’s effort to secede from the Russian Federation by shifting Russian forces rapidly into Grozny, the Chechen capital. The Kremlin considered Chechnya as a man-made, gangster-infested state for which few of its residents might be anticipated to sacrifice their lives, particularly when confronted with the total blast of Russian army energy—misguided assumptions considerably just like these made on a a lot bigger scale within the present invasion of Ukraine. The Russian items included many conscripts with little coaching, and the Kremlin failed to understand how a lot the Chechen defenders would be capable to benefit from the city terrain. The outcomes have been disastrous. On the primary day of the assault, the Russian military misplaced over 100 armored autos, together with tanks; Russian troopers have been quickly being killed on the price of 100 a day. In his memoirs, Yeltsin described the struggle because the second when Russia “parted with yet one more exceptionally doubtful however fond phantasm—in regards to the would possibly of our military . . . about its indomitability.”

The primary Chechen struggle concluded unsatisfactorily in 1996. Just a few years later, Vladimir Putin, who turned the ailing Yeltsin’s prime minister in September 1999, determined to battle the struggle once more, however this time he made certain that Russia was ready. Putin had beforehand been head of the Federal Safety Service, or FSB, the successor to the KGB, the place he started his profession. When house buildings in Moscow and elsewhere have been bombed in September 1999, Putin blamed Chechen terrorists (though there was good purpose to suspect the FSB was looking for to create a pretext for a brand new struggle) and ordered Russian troops to realize management of Chechnya by “all out there means.” On this second Chechen struggle, Russia proceeded with extra deliberation and ruthlessness till it succeeded in occupying Grozny. Though the struggle dragged on for a while, Putin’s seen dedication to ending the Chechen revolt was enough to supply him with a decisive victory within the spring 2000 presidential election. As Putin was campaigning, journalists requested him which political leaders he discovered “most attention-grabbing.” After citing Napoleon—which the reporters took as a joke—he provided Charles de Gaulle, a pure selection maybe for somebody who needed to revive the effectiveness of the state with a robust centralized authority.

The taking of Crimea confirmed Putin’s standing as a shrewd commander.

By 2013, Putin had gone a way towards reaching that finish. Excessive commodity costs had given him a robust financial system. He had additionally marginalized his political opposition at dwelling, consolidating his energy. But Russia’s relations with the West had worsened, notably regarding Ukraine. Ever because the Orange Revolution of 2004–5, Putin had frightened {that a} pro-Western authorities in Kyiv would possibly search to hitch NATO, a concern aggravated when the difficulty was broached at NATO’s 2008 Bucharest summit. The disaster, nevertheless, got here in 2013, when Victor Yanukovych, Ukraine’s pro-Russian president, was about to signal an affiliation settlement with the EU. Putin put intense strain on Yanukovych till he agreed to not signal. However Yanukovych’s reversal led to precisely what Putin had feared, a preferred rebellion—the Maidan motion—that finally introduced down Yanukovych and left Ukraine utterly within the fingers of pro-Western leaders. At this level, Putin resolved to annex Crimea.

In launching his plan, Putin had some great benefits of a Russian naval base at Sevastopol and appreciable help for Russia among the many native inhabitants. But he nonetheless proceeded fastidiously. His technique, which he has adopted since, was to current any aggressive Russian transfer as not more than a response to pleas from individuals who wanted safety. Deploying troops with customary uniforms and gear however no markings, who got here to be often called the “little inexperienced males,” the Kremlin efficiently satisfied the native parliament to name a referendum on incorporating Crimea into Russia. As these occasions unfolded, Putin was ready to carry again ought to Ukraine or its Western allies put up a critical problem. However Ukraine was in disarray—it had solely an appearing minister of protection and no decision-making authority able to reply—and the West took no motion in opposition to Russia past restricted sanctions. For Putin, the taking of Crimea, with hardly any casualties, and with the West largely standing on the sidelines, confirmed his standing as a shrewd supreme commander.

However Putin was not content material to stroll away with this clear prize; as a substitute, that spring and summer time, he allowed Russia to be drawn into a much more intractable battle within the Donbas area of japanese Ukraine. Right here, he couldn’t observe the method that had labored so properly in Crimea: pro-Russian sentiment within the east was too feeble to suggest widespread common help for secession. In a short time, the battle turned militarized, with Moscow claiming that separatist militias have been appearing independently of Russia. Nonetheless, by summer time, when it regarded just like the separatists in Donetsk and Luhansk, the 2 pro-Russian enclaves within the Donbas, is likely to be defeated by the Ukrainian military, the Kremlin despatched in common Russian forces. Though the Russians then had no bother in opposition to the Ukrainian military, Putin was nonetheless cautious. He didn’t annex the enclaves, because the separatists needed, however as a substitute took the chance to get a deal in Minsk, intending to make use of the enclaves to affect Kyiv’s insurance policies.

To some Western observers, Russia’s struggle within the Donbas regarded like a potent new technique of hybrid warfare. As analysts described it, Russia was in a position to put its adversaries on the again foot by bringing collectively common and irregular forces and overt and covert actions and by combining established types of army motion with cyberattacks and knowledge warfare. However this evaluation overstated the coherence of the Russian method. In observe, the Russians had set in movement occasions with unpredictable penalties, led by people they struggled to manage, for goals they didn’t wholly share. The Minsk settlement was by no means carried out, and the combating by no means stopped. At most, Putin had made the perfect of a nasty job, containing the battle and, whereas disrupting Ukraine, deterring the West from getting too concerned. In contrast to in Crimea, Putin had proven an unsure contact as a commander, with the Donbas enclaves left in limbo, belonging to no nation, and Ukraine persevering with to maneuver nearer to the West.

Underwhelming Power

By the summer time of 2021, the Donbas struggle had been at a stalemate for greater than seven years, and Putin selected a daring plan to convey issues to a head. Having failed to make use of the enclaves to affect Kyiv, he sought to make use of their plight to make the case for regime change in Kyiv, making certain that it could reenter Moscow’s sphere of affect and by no means once more ponder becoming a member of both NATO or the EU. Thus, he would undertake a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Such an method would require an enormous dedication of armed forces and an audacious marketing campaign. However Putin’s confidence had been boosted by Russia’s current army intervention in Syria, which efficiently propped up the regime of Bashar al-Assad, and by current efforts to modernize Russia’s armed forces. Western analysts had largely accepted Russian claims in regards to the nation’s rising army power, together with new methods and armaments, akin to “hypersonic weapons,” that a minimum of sounded spectacular. Furthermore, wholesome Russian monetary reserves would restrict the impact of any punitive sanctions. And the West appeared divided and unsettled after Donald Trump’s presidency, an impression that was confirmed by the botched U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in August 2021.

When Putin launched what he referred to as the “particular army operation” in Ukraine, many within the West feared that it’d succeed. Western observers had watched Russia’s huge buildup of forces on the Ukrainian border for months, and when the invasion started, the minds of U.S. and European strategists raced forward to the implications of a Russian victory that threatened to include Ukraine right into a revitalized Larger Russia. Though some NATO international locations, akin to america and the UK, had rushed army provides to Ukraine, others, following this pessimism, have been extra reluctant. Further gear, they concluded, was prone to arrive too late and even be captured by the Russians.

Professional-Russian troopers in Donetsk, Ukraine, March 7, 2022

Alexander Ermochenko / Reuters

Much less famous was that the Russian troop buildup—however its formidable scale—was removed from enough to take and maintain all of Ukraine. Even many in or related to the Russian army might see the dangers. In early February 2022, Igor “Strelkov” Girkin, one of many authentic Russian separatist leaders within the 2014 marketing campaign, noticed that Ukraine’s army was higher ready than it had been eight years earlier and that “there aren’t almost sufficient troops mobilized, or being mobilized.” But Putin didn’t seek the advice of consultants on Ukraine, relying as a substitute on his closest advisers—outdated comrades from the Russian safety equipment—who echoed his dismissive view that Ukraine might be simply taken.

As quickly because the invasion obtained underway, the central weaknesses within the Russian marketing campaign turned obvious. The plan was for a brief struggle, with decisive advances in a number of totally different components of the nation on the primary day. However Putin and his advisers’ optimism meant that the plan was formed largely round speedy operations by elite fight items. Little consideration was given to logistics and provide strains, which restricted Russia’s capability to maintain the offensive as soon as it stalled, and all of the necessities of recent warfare, together with meals, gas, and ammunition, started to be quickly consumed. In impact, the variety of axes of advance created a variety of separate wars being fought without delay, all presenting their very own challenges, every with their very own command buildings and with out an acceptable mechanism to coordinate their efforts and allocate assets amongst them.

The primary signal that issues weren’t going in accordance with Putin’s plan was what occurred on the Hostomel airport, close to Kyiv. Informed that they might meet little resistance, the elite paratroopers who had been despatched to carry the airport for incoming transport plane have been as a substitute repelled by a Ukrainian counterattack. Ultimately, the Russians succeeded in taking the airport, however by then, it was too broken to be of any worth. Elsewhere, apparently formidable Russian tank items have been stopped by much more flippantly armed Ukrainian defenders. In keeping with one account, an enormous column of Russian tanks that was destined for Kyiv was initially stopped by a gaggle of simply 30 Ukrainian troopers, who approached it at night time on quad bikes and succeeded in destroying a number of autos on the head of the column, leaving the remaining caught on a slender roadway and open to additional assault. The Ukrainians efficiently repeated such ambushes in lots of different areas.

Ukrainian forces, with Western help, had undertaken energetic reforms and deliberate their defenses fastidiously. They have been additionally extremely motivated, not like lots of their Russian counterparts, who have been not sure why they have been there. Agile Ukrainian items, drawing first on antitank weapons and drones after which on artillery, caught Russian forces without warning. Ultimately, then, the early course of the struggle was decided not by higher numbers and firepower however by superior ways, dedication, and command.

Compounding Errors

From the outset of the invasion, the distinction between the Russian and Ukrainian approaches to command was stark. Putin’s authentic strategic error was to imagine that Ukraine was each hostile sufficient to interact in anti-Russian actions and incapable of resisting Russian would possibly. Because the invasion stalled, Putin appeared unable to adapt to the brand new actuality, insisting that the marketing campaign was on schedule and continuing in accordance with plan. Prevented from mentioning the excessive numbers of Russian casualties and quite a few battlefield setbacks, the Russian media have relentlessly bolstered authorities propaganda in regards to the struggle. Against this, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, the preliminary goal of the Russian operation, refused gives from america and different Western powers to be taken to security to kind a authorities in exile. He not solely survived however stayed in Kyiv, seen and voluble, rallying his individuals and urgent Western governments for extra help, monetary and army. By demonstrating the overwhelming dedication of the Ukrainian individuals to defend their nation, he inspired the West to impose much more extreme sanctions on Russia than it’d in any other case have performed, in addition to to get provides of weapons and struggle materiel to Ukraine. Whereas Putin stubbornly repeated himself as his “particular army operation” faltered, Zelensky grew in confidence and political stature.

Putin’s baleful affect additionally hung over different key strategic selections by Russia. The primary, following the preliminary setbacks, was the Russian army’s determination to undertake the brutal ways it had utilized in Chechnya and Syria: focusing on civilian infrastructure, together with hospitals and residential buildings. These assaults prompted immense struggling and hardship and, as might have been predicted, solely strengthened Ukrainian resolve. The ways have been additionally counterproductive in one other sense. Mixed with the revelations about attainable struggle crimes by Russian troops in areas round Kyiv, akin to Bucha, Russia’s assaults on nonmilitary targets satisfied leaders in Washington and different Western capitals that it was pointless to attempt to dealer a compromise settlement with Putin. As a substitute, Western governments accelerated the circulate of weapons to Ukraine, with a rising emphasis on offensive in addition to defensive methods. This was not the struggle between Russia and NATO claimed by Moscow propagandists, however it was quickly turning into the following closest factor.

An unbroken string of poor command selections left Putin with few choices.

A second key strategic determination got here on March 25, when Russia deserted its maximalist objective of taking Kyiv and introduced that it was concentrating as a substitute on the “full liberation” of the Donbas area. This new goal, though it promised to convey higher distress to the east, was extra real looking, and it could have been but extra so if it had been the preliminary goal of the invasion. The Kremlin additionally now appointed an general Russian commander to guide the struggle, a basic whose method can be extra methodical and make use of extra artillery to organize the bottom earlier than armor and infantry moved ahead. However the impact of those shifts was restricted as a result of Putin wanted fast outcomes and didn’t give the Russian forces time to get better and put together for this second spherical of the struggle.

The momentum had already swung from Russia to Ukraine, and it couldn’t be circled rapidly sufficient to satisfy Putin’s timetable. Some analysts speculated that Putin needed one thing that he might name a victory on Might 9, the Russian vacation marking the tip of the Nice Patriotic Conflict, Russia’s victory over Nazi Germany. As seemingly, although, was his and his senior army commanders’ need to make territorial good points within the east earlier than Ukraine might soak up new weapons from america and Europe. Consequently, Russian commanders despatched items that had simply been withdrawn from the north again into fight within the east; there was no time to replenish the troops or treatment the failings exhibited within the first section of the struggle.

Within the new offensive, which started in earnest in mid-April, Russian forces made few good points, whereas Ukrainian counterattacks nibbled away at their positions. So as to add to the embarrassment, Russia’s Black Sea flagship, the Moskva, was sunk in an audacious Ukrainian assault. By Might 9, there was not quite a bit to have a good time in Moscow. Even the coastal metropolis of Mariupol, which Russia had attacked mercilessly because the begin of the struggle and battered into rubble, was not totally captured till every week later. By that point, Western estimates have been suggesting {that a} third of the preliminary Russian fight pressure, each personnel and gear, had been misplaced. Rumors had circulated that Putin would use the vacation to announce a basic mobilization to satisfy the military’s want for manpower, however no such announcement was made. For one factor, such a transfer would have been deeply unpopular in Russia. However it could even have taken time to get conscripts and reservists to the entrance, and Russia would nonetheless face persistent gear shortages.

After an unbroken string of poor command selections, Putin was operating out of choices. Because the offensive in Ukraine accomplished its third month, many observers started to notice that Russia had grow to be caught in an unwinnable struggle that it dared not lose. Western governments and senior NATO officers started to speak of a battle that would proceed for months, and probably years, to come back. That might rely on the power of the Russian commanders to maintain a battle going with depleted forces of low morale and likewise on the power of Ukraine to maneuver from a defensive technique to an offensive one. Maybe Russia’s army might nonetheless salvage one thing out of the state of affairs. Or maybe Putin would see in some unspecified time in the future that it is likely to be prudent to name for a cease-fire so he might money within the good points made early within the struggle earlier than a Ukrainian counteroffensive took them away, although that will imply admitting failure.

Energy With out Function

One have to be cautious when drawing giant classes from wars with their very own particular options, notably from a struggle whose full penalties usually are not but identified. Analysts and army planners are sure to review the struggle in Ukraine for a few years for instance of the boundaries to army energy, in search of explanations as to why one of many strongest and largest armed forces on the earth, with a formidable air pressure and navy and new gear and with current and profitable fight expertise, faltered so badly. Earlier than the invasion, when Russia’s army was in contrast with Ukraine’s smaller and lesser-armed protection forces, few doubted which facet would achieve the higher hand. However precise struggle is decided by qualitative and human elements, and it was the Ukrainians who had sharper ways, introduced collectively by command buildings, from the very best political stage to the lowlier area commanders, that have been match for the aim.

Putin’s struggle in Ukraine, then, is foremost a case research in a failure of supreme command. The way in which that goals are set and wars launched by the commander in chief shapes what follows. Putin’s errors weren’t distinctive; they have been typical of these made by autocratic leaders who come to consider their very own propaganda. He didn’t take a look at his optimistic assumptions in regards to the ease with which he might obtain victory. He trusted his armed forces to ship. He didn’t notice that Ukraine was a problem on a very totally different scale from earlier operations in Chechnya, Georgia, and Syria. However he additionally relied on a inflexible and hierarchical command construction that was unable to soak up and adapt to data from the bottom and, crucially, didn’t allow Russian items to reply quickly to altering circumstances.

The worth of delegated authority and native initiative might be one of many different key classes from this struggle. However for these practices to be efficient, the army in query should be capable to fulfill 4 circumstances. First, there have to be mutual belief between these on the senior and most junior ranges. These on the highest stage of command should have confidence that their subordinates have the intelligence and talent to do the suitable factor in demanding circumstances, whereas their subordinates should have confidence that the excessive command will present what backing they’ll. Second, these doing the combating should have entry to the gear and provides they should hold going. It helped the Ukrainians that they have been utilizing transportable antitank and air-defense weapons and have been combating near their dwelling bases, however they nonetheless wanted their logistical methods to work.

Third, these offering management on the most junior ranges of command have to be of top of the range. Below Western steerage, the Ukrainian military had been creating the type of noncommissioned officer corps that may make sure that the essential calls for of a military on the transfer might be met, from gear upkeep to precise preparedness to battle. In observe, much more related was that lots of those that returned to the ranks when Ukraine mobilized have been skilled veterans and had a pure understanding of what wanted to be performed.

However this results in the fourth situation. The power to behave successfully at any stage of command requires a dedication to the mission and an understanding of its political function. These components have been missing on the Russian facet due to the way in which Putin launched his struggle: the enemy the Russian forces had been led to anticipate was not the one they confronted, and the Ukrainian inhabitants was not, opposite to what they’d been informed, inclined to be liberated. The extra futile the battle, the decrease the morale and the weaker the self-discipline of these combating. In these circumstances, native initiative can merely result in desertion or looting. Against this, the Ukrainians have been defending their territory in opposition to an enemy intent on destroying their land. There was an asymmetry of motivation that influenced the combating from the beginning. Which takes us again to the folly of Putin’s authentic determination. It’s onerous to command forces to behave in help of a delusion.

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