The awards acknowledged the collective efforts and excellent contributions of Affiliate Chair Brian Greenshields and Affiliate Professor Tommy Jamison, each from NPS’ Division of Protection Evaluation; Professor of the Observe Jeffrey Kline and School Associates-Analysis Mary McDonald and Stephen Upton from the Division of Operations Analysis; Division of Protection Administration lecturer Dr. Mitchell McCarthy; and quite a few different NPS personnel and college students.
Additionally honored have been two resident college members from the Naval Conflict School (NWC) at NPS – Dr. Yvonne Chiu, Affiliate Professor of Technique and Coverage, and Dr. Jonathan Czarnecki, Professor of Joint Navy/Maritime Operations.
Dr. Andy Hernandez, a retired U.S. Army colonel and present Affiliate Chair for Operations with the NPS Division of Programs Engineering, serves as lead principal investigator on the venture.
Initiated in April 2022 on the behest of then-Vice Adm. Stuart Munsch, director of Joint Drive Growth (J7) on the Joint Employees, the venture aimed to develop detailed fashions encompassing vital variables pertinent to an operational state of affairs within the INDOPACOM area.
Particularly, the request was for NPS to develop an unbiased, multidisciplinary tutorial method to look at the consequences of operational variables on deterrence and to quantify these relationships. The preliminary examine on army deterrence included a mix of drawback structuring strategies, techniques evaluation, marketing campaign evaluation, wargaming, laptop simulation and experimentation, political evaluation, and thorough regional experience. Greater than two dozen college members and researchers, together with greater than a dozen college students, contributed to the analysis effort.
The interdisciplinary staff was comprised of consultants from numerous fields, together with regional safety research, political science, army operations, techniques engineering, and laptop science. The staff was assembled from NPS and the Naval Conflict School, in addition to different authorities and non-governmental establishments.
Chiu served as staff chief for the venture’s indications and warning, in addition to worth modeling efforts, and was one among many important contributors to the venture’s success.
“The worth modeling and the simulations fashions prompted some reconsideration and revision of current DOD doctrine, and generated actionable strategic, operational, and power design suggestions throughout the related operational variables for Joint Employees J7 and INDOPACOM,” famous Chiu. “This venture additionally demonstrates the use and worth of this specific multi-method and multi-disciplinary method to mission engineering.”
Past its speedy impression, the venture lays the groundwork for future endeavors, notably within the realm of financial deterrence.
“Different DOD models have expressed curiosity in each the venture’s outcomes and its instruments and methodology,” stated Chiu. “So, there shall be functions of the outcomes, instruments, and methodology for different DOD analysis and planning tasks.”
The venture staff’s outcomes have been offered to a number of places of work, together with J7, the Navy’s Warfighting Growth staff (OPNAV N7), and INDOPACOM’s Strategic Planning and Coverage Directorate (J5), from July to October 2023. In February 2024, the staff offered outcomes relating to “Posture” as an operational variable throughout INDOPACOM’s Posture Convention. The dialogue led the INDOPACOM J56 to make some choices in its present method.
Hernandez emphasised the importance of integrating the staff’s outcomes into future ideas.
“The J7 will use these outcomes to tell Joint Drive Design and the subsequent era of the Joint Warfighting Idea,” stated Hernandez. “Moreover, the NPS venture outcomes prompted J7 to develop the work. Whereas the preliminary effort was on the army instrument of nationwide energy, the work for FY24 and FY25 will develop financial deterrence choices … These FY24 and FY25 efforts can drastically contribute to growing INDOPACOM’s theater engagement plan and deterrence efforts.”
The following section for the venture staff is the event of practical financial deterrence choices (FEDO). This effort started in February 2024 and is ongoing.
“NPS’ emphasis on STEM schooling alongside its regional and strategic research schooling in its personal departments and within the resident NWC-at-NPS program offered a central pool of numerous consultants who already converse with one another on nationwide safety points,” stated Chiu. “This was a stable basis on which to construct their collaboration and broader coordination with different establishments for this venture.”
The popularity highlights NPS’ pivotal function in advancing protection capabilities and underscores the establishment’s dedication to excellence in protection analysis and schooling.
