On Monday August 15, the unbiased Belarusian monitoring group referred to as Belarusian Hajun Mission famous appreciable will increase in Russian navy exercise on Belarusian territory, particularly round Belarus’ Ziabrauka airfield, which in response to Ukrainian officers is beneath full Russian management.
By analysing satellite tv for pc imagery, the Hajun Mission estimated that Russia had deployed 10-14 missile programs of the kinds S-300 and S-400, two Pantsir-1 anti-aircraft defence programs and three radar programs on the Ziabrauka airfield by August 12.
The truth that there are additionally between 15-60 rockets for the missile programs, with steady rocket deliveries being made by Russian aircrafts, may point out that Russia is planning a large-scale missile assault on Ukraine from Belarusian territory within the coming weeks.
On August 10, a number of massive explosions had been heard from the Ziabrauka airfield after what seems to have been the explosion of a navy plane. Ukraine has not taken credit score for the explosion and the official Belarusian model claims that it was attributable to a car that caught hearth throughout an inspection run.
Bne IntelliNews has earlier this month reported on the methods through which Belarus has been stepping up its assist for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine prior to now couple of months.
This has primarily been carried out by permitting Russia to conduct missile strikes from Belarusian territory on June 25 and July 28, permitting Russian troops to conduct reconnaissance missions into Ukraine from Belarusian territory and by supplying Russia with ammunition and navy {hardware} from its storage amenities.
Furthermore, in response to a current announcement by Ukraine’s Normal Employees, round 13,000 individuals from lively or previously lively Belarusian navy items from Belarus’ particular operations forces in addition to from the OMON riot police power have signed contracts with Russia to struggle within the struggle.
There has additionally been a slight improve within the variety of Russian and Belarusian tanks and troops close to the Belarus-Ukraine border prior to now couple of months. Nevertheless, the variety of troops deployed there are nonetheless not ample to conduct an invasion just like the one on February 24.
The UK’s Ministry of Defence warned on August 10 that Russia could quickly type a brand new military corps with as much as 15,000-20,000 troops, which may imply that Putin is getting ready for a brand new offensive within the east.
With a view to support such an offensive, Russia could possibly be getting ready a big missile assault from Belarusian territory. Such a missile assault may be accompanied by sabotage assaults carried out by Russian reconnaissance items getting into Ukraine from Belarusian territory.
