“If we take into account the technical web site of the issue, they’ll begin the offensive if not at the moment then tomorrow,” Ponomarenko mentioned.
“Conventionally, they’ve some navy forces. In accordance with varied estimates, there are from 70,000 to 100,000 troops. They’ve navy gear and ammunition. On paper, they’ve already had manpower and all they technically want for the offensive.”
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Nonetheless, the Russian-Belarusian formation has some issues that stop it from invading Ukraine from the north.
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“They miss the primary factor — they miss coherence. They do not have meticulously ready plans, in addition to the likelihood to carry plans to life because it was supposed.”
The historian believes that for the reason that Soviet Union instances the Russians have been certain to orders and do not present initiative. In accordance with him, this prevents the Kremlin from reaching its objectives.
Learn additionally: Belarus’ Lukashenko has made resolution to invade Ukraine below sure situations, professional says
“Every thing is prepared on paper, however is it actually prepared?” Ponomarenko added.
“Have they ready plans? Are they motivated sufficient? Are they educated? Are their items coordinated? When you have been to ship 50,000 unprepared mobilised folks, it might be only a crowd. They will not grow to be navy items on fight obligation.”
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