The ultra-right Polish authorities of the Regulation and Justice Get together (PiS) is enjoying a central position in NATO’s proxy battle towards Russia in Ukraine. It acts as a provocative and aggressive ally of US imperialism within the area.
After the US and UK, Poland has promised Ukraine the third largest sum in arms deliveries, $1.8 billion, though its gross home product is just a fraction that of the foremost imperialist powers. Whereas giant elements of the already impoverished Polish inhabitants are being thrust into penury by the quickly rising inflation and the implications of the pandemic, Warsaw is utilizing the battle in Ukraine to push forward and broaden long-cherished rearmament plans.
On the finish of final 12 months, PiS chief after which Minister of Nationwide Safety Jaroslaw Kaczynski introduced the “Plan for the Defence of the Fatherland.” This revised the modernisation plan for the armed forces adopted in 2017. The defence funds was to be elevated from 2.2 % (about $13 billion) to 2.5 % of GDP by 2030. By 2035, some $115 billion was to be invested within the military and its power was to develop from 110,000 to 250,000 troops.
A number of months after the beginning of the battle, the tempo of rearmament was then elevated once more considerably. As an alternative of two.5 %, the funds is now to extend to three % of the GDP, and never in 2026, as was mentioned, however within the coming 12 months. As well as, there can be billions extra from a particular fund to help the armed forces.
The particular fund is a centrepiece of the brand new legislation to make sure the financing of rearmament. It escapes parliamentary management and in addition circumvents the authorized obligations (akin to Germany’s debt ceiling) to consolidate the funds. Its financing is fed from varied channels—from authorities bonds and bonds issued by the nationwide growth financial institution BGK, from the state funds and the earnings of the Nationwide Financial institution of Poland.
Because the authorities had an issue issuing authorities bonds because of financial causes and excessive inflation, it rushed an modification to the legislation via the Sejm (decrease home of parliament) permitting for separate defence bonds. In keeping with the federal government, the help fund can be price 20 billion zloty (€4.2 billion) this 12 months and round 50 billion zloty (€10.5 billion) subsequent 12 months.
The Defence of the Fatherland Act got here into drive on April 23. Previous to that, it had been adopted virtually unanimously and with out objection by each chambers of the Polish parliament (Sejm and Senate). The approval of all opposition events makes clear that the battle coverage is supported each internally and externally by all sections of the ruling class. So far as there’s criticism of the PiS, that is merely a matter of tactical variations.
The militarisation of society and strengthening of utmost right-wing forces
A central part of Poland’s rearmament plans is the introduction of a one-year voluntary fundamental navy service. Poland had abolished its normal conscription in 2010. Since then, NATO’s nominally eighth-largest military has had issues discovering sufficient personnel. The huge enlargement of the navy and paramilitary items goes hand in hand with the strengthening of Poland’s longstanding state-sponsored radical right-wing forces.
The brand new system is clearly designed to use the abject poverty of enormous sections of the Polish working class, particularly the youth. It depends on monetary incentives to combine younger folks into the murderous equipment of militarism. A full scholarship entices a dedication to a five-year service, and there’s additionally speculated to be precedence remedy when making use of for jobs in public administration. Those that nonetheless hesitate are lured with the assertion that “you possibly can stop at any time.”
After a particularly shortened fundamental coaching of 28 days, for which they obtain a full soldier’s wage of 4,400 zloty (€925), the recruits are sworn in and admitted into the reserve. Then they’ve the selection of finishing voluntary navy service after one other 11 months of navy coaching or being taken over by the skilled military. Alternatively, they’ll be a part of the Territorial Defence Forces (WOT) after the 28-day fundamental coaching.
The paramilitary WOT, which studies on to the defence ministry, is a central part of the rearmament programme. In contrast to the traditional reserve, it’s composed of troopers and volunteers and is of a restricted length. It conducts workouts a number of instances a month, with pay and corresponding break day work. In keeping with authorities plans, the WOT will even develop from round 30,000 to 50,000 forces.
Like its Ukrainian counterpart, the Territorial Defence, the place neo-Nazi formations such because the Azov Battalion and the Worldwide Legion set the tone, the WOT can be dominated by ultra-right forces.
It was created in 2016 by then Defence Minister Antoni Macierewicz, who’s a militant anti-communist and anti-Semite with shut ties to radical right-wing circles. Macierewicz has performed a key position within the PiS’s marketing campaign to strengthen anti-Semitic forces, particularly, denying the accountability of Polish nationalists for anti-Jewish pogroms corresponding to these in Jedwabne and Kielce.
Right now, Macierewicz is vice-chairman of the PiS, and the WOT is now below the management of Mariusz Błaszczak, his successor, who additionally holds ultra-right positions. For instance, he described the march of 60,000 fascists in Warsaw in November 2017 as a “lovely sight.”
Propagating the views of the intense proper can be formally one of many duties of the WOT, which is euphemistically described as “strengthening the patriotic and Christian foundations of the Polish system and armed forces.” The WOT explicitly serves home safety functions.
Deputy Defence Minister Wojciech Skurkiewicz described the institution of a 66-member WOT orchestra in Radom as “the start of an important undertaking, the creation of a central establishment in our metropolis to popularise a defence tradition and WOT custom.” Along with the orchestra, the intention is to arrange centres the place the “popularisation of defence” can be carried out in cooperation with native authorities, NGOs and social companions, he mentioned. There’s additionally to be a “centre for tradition and custom.”
In different phrases, the WOT serves as an instrument for the whole militarisation of society and as a automobile for the large social and political strengthening of radical right-wing forces.
What the militarisation offensive appears to be like like might be seen from mid-Could, when the recruitment marketing campaign based mostly on the brand new legislation started. All through Poland, 32 “navy picnics” have been organised, and 70 recruitment centres arrange. On August 15, the standard Army Day (marking the anniversary of the Battle of Warsaw in 1920), as an alternative of the standard navy march, there was additionally a “Weekend with the Army” (Weekend z wojskiem) with intensive festivities and occasions.
The “navy picnics” sought to entice guests with “quite a few sights for youngsters and adults,” getting palms on with navy know-how, navy orchestras, stalls and displays. The photographs of those are repulsive: Bouncy castles stand subsequent to armoured personnel carriers; kids pose with machine weapons.
The Territorial Defence Forces additionally particularly promote amongst schoolchildren, college students and apprentices to make use of their summer time holidays for the 16-day reception coaching course, which is cynically marketed as a “vacation with the Territorial Defence Forces.” Right here, too, the lure is the equal of about €100 on completion of the course.
Tomasz Klucznik, press spokesman for the seventh Pomeranian Territorial Defence Brigade, even inspired secondary college academics participate within the coaching. “Lecturers can brush up on their sensible information of how the drive works and get to know our trendy gear,” Klucznik mentioned.
The background to that is the change in instructing the topic “Security Schooling” (EdB) ordered in March by Schooling Minister Przemysław Czarnek. From September onwards, defence training is to be a part of the varsity curriculum within the eighth grade of main colleges and the primary grade of secondary colleges—together with firearms coaching.
After two years of the pandemic, defence training replaces the earlier module on well being promotion, of all issues. Different new studying content material consists of survival in hostilities, first assist throughout the usage of typical weapons and cyber safety.
The entire thing is framed by a complete right-wing training reform, also called Lex Czarnek. Along with the authoritarian surveillance and management of pupils and the work of academics, the main focus is on “nationwide training.”
The textbook Historical past and the Current—1945-1979 (by Wojciech Roszkowski) for the brand new topic of the identical identify resembles a right-wing extremist pamphlet. Even representatives of the official opposition events accuse it of being influenced by an ultra-nationalist and arch-Catholic view of society. It rails towards atheists, communists, Greens, neoliberals, blacks, LGBTQ, synthetic insemination and even rock music.
Ought to ideological indoctrination and aggressive promoting campaigns fail to supply sufficient “volunteers,” the defence reform additionally stipulates that each one Polish residents aged 18 and over can be required to register for the aim of “conserving navy data and navy {qualifications}.”
So as to fill the navy database, the military could have entry to all the knowledge of all conceivable establishments “for any function, with out management, with out limiting {the catalogue} of information or the time of their processing,” in response to Wojciech Klicki of the Panoptykon Basis Towards the Surveillance Society. “Due to the brand new laws, the navy authorities can examine how typically we’re sick, what taxes we pay, whether or not we now have been punished, whether or not there’s a case for authorized proceedings towards us.” And this, Klicki continues, with direct entry to the information servers. By the legislation on the “defence of the fatherland,” the military itself thus turns into an unrestricted secret service.
Poland’s orgy of rearmament and the rising tensions in Europe
The size of the rearmament exhibits that Poland has higher ambitions than simply enjoying one in every of many violins within the NATO battle orchestra. The nation has lengthy been a key ally of the US in Europe. The Three Seas Initiative, which Ukraine formally joined in June, blatantly harks again to the Pilsudski regime’s Intermarium undertaking from the time between the 2 world wars and has been formally supported by Washington since 2017. Then as now, the Polish bourgeoisie dreamed of enjoying the position of an important energy within the shadow of the US, at the least regionally.
PiS chief Jarosław Kaczyński made clear that the ruling PiS is utilizing the NATO alliance to place itself towards Germany as nicely. On the fringes of a press convention, he remarked that he was under no circumstances positive whether or not the upgrading of the Bundeswehr (armed forces) initiated by German Chancellor Olaf Scholz was actually directed towards Russia—or maybe towards Poland in spite of everything. Originally of August, Kaczyński had publicly railed towards the “German plan for domination” in Europe and worldwide.
It’s due to this fact not shocking that Poland’s lengthy procuring record doesn’t embrace a single German product.
Within the final six months alone, Poland’s Defence Minister Błaszczak has signed arms purchases price over $11 billion. That’s virtually half the dimensions of all arms purchases within the final seven years mixed. As well as, there are different buy bulletins and signed framework agreements.
The most important objects amongst them are:
- Three Miecznik frigates for the equal of about $2 billion, to be constructed below British licence in Polish shipyards. The final of the three ships is to be handed over to the Polish Navy in 2034.
- 250 M1A2 Abrams tanks together with help automobiles, bascule bridges and a logistics and coaching package deal for $4.75 billion from the American firm Basic Dynamics, anticipated to be accomplished by 2026. To this point, that is the most important buy within the historical past of the Polish military. In mid-July, the acquisition of 116 used M1A1 Abrams tanks was additionally introduced.
- A battery of the Polish short-range missile defence system Narew, based mostly on the British CAMM surface-to-air missile from MBDA for $360 million. In the long run, the Narew programme is anticipated to value over $13 billion and comprise 23 items. It’s a part of the “Defend of Poland,” a multi-layered missile and air defence programme introduced again in 2015, which along with Narew additionally consists of the Wisła medium-range defence system and the Pilica anti-aircraft gun.
- Wisla consists of US Patriot batteries, two items of which have been already bought in 2018 for $4.75 billion. A minimum of six extra batteries are to observe.
- Serial manufacturing for Pilica began this 12 months. It consists of a 23mm anti-aircraft gun supplemented by two Piorun missiles and radars. Six batteries of this sort are to be delivered to the Polish military this 12 months for $160 million by the Polish state-owned firm Mesko.
- The Piorun missiles are additionally produced as a shoulder-launched variant. Poland has additionally delivered an unknown variety of them to Ukraine. In keeping with the producer, the manufacturing amount is to be doubled to 600 this 12 months and improve to 1,000 from 2023. Poland had ordered 3,500 extra for $750 million in June.
- 4 modules of the Gladius unmanned drone system from the Polish WB Electronics Group for $440 million. It consists of a number of hundred reconnaissance and suicide drones.
- Three Kormoran-class mine looking vessels price about $800 million, constructed by a shipyard of the state-owned defence firm PGZ in Gdansk.
- 32 AW-149 multi-role helicopters for $1.8 billion from Italy’s Leonardo Group. Manufacturing is to be taken over completely by the Polish subsidiary PZL-Świdnik.
- 70 ZSSW-30 gun turrets for the Rosomak wheeled tank for $370 million. This order will even be taken over by the state-owned PGZ armament group. On the similar press convention, Błaszczak introduced that the ultimate checks are underway for the brand new Borsuk infantry combating automobile, which can be scheduled to enter sequence manufacturing by the thousand in 2024.
Along with these already sealed purchases, there are different, a lot bigger buy plans.
- 32 Kruk fight helicopters for an estimated $2.3 billion. In keeping with the Ministry of Defence, the US firms Boeing and Bell are within the closing choice for cooperation companions.
- Three new Orca-class submarines for round $2.6 billion. In 2019, Poland acquired German, French and Swedish presents, however has not but determined.
- In Could, Defence Minister Błaszczak introduced that the acquisition of a complete of 500 HIMARS missile techniques can be examined. The self-propelled a number of rocket launcher system has been blamed for delicate Russian military losses for the reason that Ukrainian military has had it. Poland already has 80 items and had ordered 20 extra in 2019 at a price of $414 million, that are because of arrive subsequent 12 months.
- In July, a framework settlement was signed for the supply of Poland’s new Ottokar Brzoza anti-tank automobile in unknown numbers. Its armament—British Brimstone guided missiles with a variety of 12 kilometres—comes from MBDA.
- The climax of the armaments orgy to this point was reached a couple of days in the past: On August 6, the conclusion of a framework settlement for the acquisition of 1,000 important battle tanks from South Korea’s Hyundai Rotem Group was introduced, with 180 K2 tanks ordered instantly for $2.2 billion. The remaining 820 are to be manufactured in Poland as a modified licence construct (K2PL) from 2026. In complete, the acquisition is prone to value nicely over $10 billion.
As well as, additional South Korean purchases are being mentioned. For instance, 672 K9A1 self-propelled howitzers and 48 FA-50 mild fight plane, each of that are to be constructed below Polish licence. The self-propelled howitzers alone are estimated to value one other $2.5 billion.
Formally, the large arms purchases are being justified by the truth that Poland, which has made intensive arms deliveries to Ukraine, wanted to revive its defence capabilities. In reality, Poland is the third largest provider of navy gear to Ukraine after the US and the UK. In keeping with the worldwide navy portal Oryx, it has equipped 230 T-72M tanks, 40 APC 1 infantry combating automobiles, 20 T-72 Goździk self-propelled howitzers, 20 Grad BM 21 multi-lead rocket launchers, 100 air-to-air R-73 missiles, 10,000 Grot assault rifles and FlyEye reconnaissance drones.
Behind the Polish navy buying coverage can be the unconditional solidarity with the US Army. Within the case of a number of purchases, Defence Minister Błaszczak defined that the decisive issue was the best potential compatibility with the US navy. The South Korean military is already intently built-in with the US navy.
This grew to become clear on the opening of the Abrams Academy in Poznan. That is to coach Polish troopers on borrowed Abrams tanks below the steering of the fifth US Corps till the newly ordered tanks arrive.
The Corps beforehand offered the Ahead Rotation Command of the US armed forces however grew to become the everlasting headquarters a couple of months in the past after President Biden introduced it. In doing so, Biden brazenly violated the 1997 NATO-Russia settlement that dominated out a “everlasting” deployment. Commanding Basic John Stephen Kolasheski praised Poland as a bulwark and declared: “Quickly nobody will be capable to distinguish between a Polish and an American tank. Solely the strongest navy alliance can be seen.”
Defence Minister Blaszczak resurrected anti-communism à la Ronald Reagan and pathetically declared that “the evil empire” had already been stopped as soon as. “Right now, the rulers of the Kremlin wish to rebuild the empire of evil, however the free world” would win. In actuality, the Reagan period noticed the start of a world wave of social counterrevolution that bloodily suppressed all resistance with the assistance of far-right paramilitary forces.
On this respect, the minister has certainly chosen the suitable comparability. Whereas Poland is utilizing the Ukraine battle to arrange for a brand new world battle, the large militarisation and build-up of right-wing paramilitary forces is primarily directed towards the working class of Poland and Europe.
In keeping with specialists, Poland is on the verge of a recession after its GDP slumped by 2.3 % within the second quarter of 2022, greater than different international locations in Jap Europe. At 15.5 %, inflation in Poland is without doubt one of the highest in Europe and by far the worst since 1989 and is anticipated to rise additional to 18.8 % by subsequent 12 months.
Three-and-a-half million refugees from Ukraine have discovered asylum in Poland, which itself has a inhabitants of virtually 38 million. In some cities, the excessive variety of refugees has elevated the inhabitants by 15 to twenty %, in Gdansk by as a lot as 34 %. From the start, virtually all the help for the refugees has come from working folks, though their very own dwelling situations are quickly deteriorating. The PiS authorities refuses to offer any vital assist to the refugees.
For the autumn, many commentators predict a wave of employees’ protests and strikes, particularly among the many 500,000 academics whose nationwide strike in 2019 was betrayed by the unions.
The working class is the one social drive that may and can confront rising militarism, fascism and the large menace of one other catastrophic enlargement of battle. The central process is to construct the mandatory management and political and organisational framework for these struggles within the type of the Worldwide Employees Alliance of Rank-and-File Committees.